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A detailed map released by a French web
site citing Lebanese sources shows the main network of communications
established by
Hezbollah throughout Lebanon. It details the organization's closed
circuit telephone system, a network independent from the one operated by
the government.
This parallel network was at the heart
of the recent flare-up between Prime Minister Fouad Siniora's cabinet
and Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah.
The latter accused the government of
attempting to seize the network while the Lebanese government stating
that no communication network could operate outside the law. Hezbollah's
response was that its status as a "resistance" organization justified it
running its own "closed communications system." In other words, to
behave as a state within the state.
Under the country's constitution the
Lebanese government had the right to demand that Hezbollah shuts down
its illegal operation. But no sooner was the ministerial decision made
public that Hezbollah launched a blitz campaign on the Lebanese
government.
Even though the government was not in a
position to dismantle Hezbollah's network or prepared for a militarily
confrontation, Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah held a press
conference, declared war against the government and gave a signal to the
coup.
Why would Hezbollah wage such a risky
war for a telecommunication system? Is it because of the income
generated by the network to sell international phone calls? Less likely.
The Iranian foreign aid to the group was upgraded from $300 million to a
little less than $1billion a few months ago.
Obviously
more revenue is always welcomed by the leaders of the so-called
"resistance," but more important is the big picture revealed by the
Hezbollah phone map.
Close analysis of the map tells us the
following:
The "Red Lines" stretch from southern
Beirut along the coast to the Hezbollah exclusive zones in the south. It
covers a complex network of bases in the area, cuts through the Jezzine
district and connects with the Bekaa Valley all the way up to northern
Lebanon. The most important features and dimensions of the Hizbo-net are
the following:
1) The net covers large parts of Greater
Beirut: This can provide Hezbollah with the ability to organize its
forces in Dahiye (southern suburb of Beirut) for assaults against West
Beirut, East Beirut and the Druze Mountain in Aley and the Chouf. The
closed circuit can mobilize thousands of fighters without interception
from Lebanese or international monitoring. It explains how Hezbollah
launched its blitzkrieg offensive on Sunni Beirut, the Druze Mountain
and was testing Christian Beirut, without real warning to the areas
under attack.
2) The coastal cable-line links the
Dahiye to the inner land of the Hezb. It serves to move troops and
material from the south to the north without major detection. It
explains how thousands of Hezbollah forces were moved from as far as
Nabatieh and Tyre to Beirut. But it also tells about the capacity of
Hezbollah to use it against UNIFIL forces in the future, if needed.
3) The network between the south and the
Bekaa indicates a Hezbollah strategy to close the gap to the east.
As I have indicated in many articles and
interviews previously, the Lebanese-Syrian borders are all that count to
Hezbollah's terror network. As long as these frontiers are open for Iran
to supply weapons and logistics via Syria, the state within the state
can thrive and grow.
The Lebanese government and the U.N.,
with European and U.S. backing, should have closed that gap three years
ago, but they didn't. Let's leave the blame game to another discussion.
Hezbollah was faster than anyone else.
According to this map the Iranian backed
militia built an impressive network throughout east Lebanon from the
southern fortresses to the closest position to the northern borders with
Syria. This means that Hezbollah by now, has covered the entire Bekaa
Valley, and thus has beaten the international community to the borders
with Syria.
Military
and intelligence analysts can understand this development very clearly.
Strategically, Hezbollah is in control of these areas as shown by a map
B, which I established two years ago.
4) In the mid-Bekaa, the cable route
connects the center of the valley to one of the highest peaks in Mount
Lebanon and thrusts into the mostly Christian districts of Byblos and
Kesrouan. This shows that Hezbollah has already established an axis of
penetration inside the Mount Lebanon area, at few kilometers only from
the seashore.
5) Map A also shows that Hezbollah
positions are connected to the Anti-Lebanon Range and thus to the Syrian
hinterland. Militarily there are no Lebanese-Syrian borders to stop the
flow of weapons and forces coming from Iran through Syria into Lebanon.
6) The northern tips of the Hezbollah
"cable road" show clearly that its forces are deployed as far north as
the eastern slopes of the Cedars Mounts. From these positions, the
Iranian-backed forces can seize the highest peak south of Turkey, leap
to the Akkar district and reach the northern borders with Syria.
7) More importantly, and because of the
strategic bridge between Hezbollah and Iran, this communications network
is a battlefield system which can be used by the Iranian Pasdaran and
eventually by Syrian Special Forces in a potential mass return to
Lebanon.
In
summer 2007 I presented a projection-map in a briefing to the Caucus on
Counter Terrorism at the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as to a
number of high ranking U.S. military personnel. It showed the potential
paths of a Hezbollah offensive in Lebanon.
Indeed, strategic projections show that
Hezbollah can move its forces from the south toward Beirut (which was
executed in May). But it also shows that combined forces of Hezbollah
and Pasdaran can move on the Damascus road to Beirut and Mount Lebanon
and the center of mountain as well.
Hezbollah-Pasdaran forces would move in
the north on an East-West axis and jihadist elements and pro-Syrian
forces can move from the borders to Tripoli.
The Hezbollah communication systems
shows that when the time will come, massive reinforcements from Syria
and Iran can move swiftly along axis already secured by Hezbollah across
Lebanon. The invasion of West Beirut and the attacks against the Chouf
and Aley districts are only the early signs of what is to come.
8) Last but not least, the Hezbollah
communications network can also allow an activation of their massive
rocket and missile system across Lebanon without significant
interference from Western assets.
The aim of this
powerful missile force seems to be against a potential "international"
force tasked with the mission of bringing peace to the country. Here
again Hezbollah – and Iran – have already beaten the West in the race
toward dominating the Eastern Mediterranean. |