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Caught in the Cobweb
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About Tony Rubolotta
Tony Rubolotta works in the technology industry.

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Tony Rubolotta

Caught in the Cobweb
September 17, 2008

I have written here before that government interference in the economy delays the inexorable forces of economic laws, which in turn magnifies the corrections that must inevitably take place. More government regulation was not going to save Lehman Brothers from bankruptcy. It may have delayed bankruptcy, but reality would still triumph in the end to produce an even greater disaster. A government doing everything it can to forestall and conceal the most catastrophic pending collapse in economic history should not be trusted with anyone’s assets. The failure of Social Security will make Lehman Brothers look like chump change.

Lehman did not fail due to lack of government regulation so much as it did from application of the wrong regulations and a risk free mindset created by previous government bailouts. People screaming for regulatory reform in the wake of the Enron, Tyco and WorldCom failures were given the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX). SOX has proven to be yet another imposed government burden entangled with a jobs creation scheme for CPAs and bureaucrats. It is mostly show since the substance of the law is overly complex and fails to address the driving force behind the failures it was ostensibly passed to prevent. The lemmings are still stampeding over the cliff, confident that the government safety net (SOX) will save them. This leftist mentality that government is always the answer simply increases the lemming herd to a critical mass no safety net can hold.

My guess would be that Lehman Brothers was in compliance with SOX and a few other government regulations that may have contributed to this failure. No one is talking about the burden of EEOA, but companies pay a severe price for compliance. Companies do not hire the best people for the job, but are burdened with a quota system that counts gender, skin color and ethnic origin as the only qualifications that matter in employment practices. To get the right person in the right job may mean hiring three additional and unnecessary people just to satisfy state and federal bean counters. Alternatively, companies may just fill those jobs with unqualified or minimally qualified people and cross their fingers. Neither situation is good in a competitive market, but it sure makes liberals feel good, until the company goes bust with their money.

Greedy investors with unrealistic expectations for returns and wanton disregard for risk fueled the failures that led to SOX. Greedy corporate officers were more than willing to supply the high risk investments that the greedy investors demanded. Supply and demand; it works every time. Those same greedy individuals now want you and me, the taxpayer, to pay for their foolishness so they can do it again.

The same leftist mentality that insists greed should be a risk free vice is fueling the mortgage crisis. Lending institutions were gambling that housing prices could only go up, as were borrowers, and that rising home prices would secure their high risk loans through equity appreciation. Of course, the government has had a hand in this too, insisting loans reflect gender, racial and ethnic quotas and risk be damned. While I believe the magnitude of this crisis has been exaggerated for political purposes and media entertainment value, it will only grow if the government offers some form of relief.

The Law of Supply and Demand regulates prices and determines the cost of failure or reward for success for taking risk. Anyone that has taken Economics 101 is familiar with the cobweb effect and the elegantly self-regulating and self-adjusting features of this law. They should also realize that if the equilibrium point is not reached in a sequence of small adjustments, but thwarted by external manipulations, the distance and pressure to reach equilibrium increase. The longer the correction is delayed, or the more it is skewed by artificial means, the more severe it will be when it finally happens. Socialists believe they can beat this law, but they never have. The Soviet Union tried for 70 years to manipulate their economy without regard for this fundamental law. The outcome speaks for itself.

We had laws against fraud and deceit long before SOX was passed. We also had moral laws against greed and corruption even longer before SOX was passed. Today’s buyers and investors are the best informed in human history. How then were they duped? The government through SOX merely created a false sense of security that fraud and deceit had ended or was being controlled. Liberalism created the false notion that morality is relative. Greed could be redefined as a need. Both create the risk free mindset. Together, they created Lehman Brothers.

No more regulations please. Repeal SOX, enforce the laws against fraudulent business practices and let the little corrections serve as warnings to prevent catastrophic corrections later. The government that is overseeing Social Security is unfit to do more than that.

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