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Greg C. Reeson
Syria: Next Target in the War on Terror?
October 30, 2008
Last weekend,
U.S. military forces conducted a raid inside Syrian territory in an
attempt to capture or kill the leader of a network that funneled foreign
fighters, weapons, and money into Iraq to combat coalition and Iraqi
forces. In early September, the United States launched the first known
ground incursion into Pakistan after receiving authorization from
President Bush in July to conduct raids on Pakistani soil.
Most analysts and media outlets said
these events were meant to send a message to other countries: take the
actions necessary to control your borders or we’ll do it for you. But
there was another, not so obvious message being sent by the U.S., and it
was directed at Syria: get your act together or you could be the next
target in the United States’ global war on terrorism.
Last weekend’s raid five miles inside
Syria really wasn’t anything new. U.S. forces have entered Syria before,
and this latest attack targeting Abu Ghadiyah, reportedly named
commander for Syrian logistics in 2004 by the now deceased Abu Musab
al-Zarqawi, former leader of al Qaeda in Iraq, was part of a recurring
pattern of U.S. military actions along the Iraq-Syria border designed to
stop the flow of foreign fighters and materiel into Iraq.
The raid was not something new, but the
timing of it was a bit peculiar. By all accounts, the Syrians have taken
more extensive measures of late to control the border with Iraq. Syrian
cooperation has been praised by Defense Department officials, and the
number of foreign fighters entering Iraq from Syria, as reported by
American commanders in Iraq, has dropped dramatically over the past
year.
And, when these attacks have occurred in
the past, the fallout has been pretty minor. Syria has rarely batted an
eye when U.S. forces have crossed its border. This time, though, the
reaction was different. This time Syrian officials called the raid
"criminal,” lodged a protest with the United Nations, and ordered closed
an American school and cultural center in Damascus.
After conducting these sorts of raids
several times in the past, and after finally getting some cooperation
from Syria along the Iraq border, the United States conducts a highly
visible attack that draws a significant Syrian response. Why? I suspect
it is because the United States is acknowledging that it cannot hope to
provide any measure of stability in the Middle East unless it does
something about Syria, and it is signaling to Syria that the day of
reckoning is coming.
Syria has been one of the most
destabilizing forces in the region for decades, and Damascus has the
ability, and possibly the will, to make life in the Middle East very
painful for the United States. The list of problems associated with
Syria is long, and extremely complex: state sponsor of terrorism and
supporter of both Hamas and Hezbollah; dangerously allied with Iran and
openly sabotaging the Lebanese government; harboring members of Saddam
Hussein’s Baathist regime who are financing Iraqi insurgents and
allowing the flow of foreign fighters, weapons, and money from Syria
into Iraq. None of these issues can be ignored if the United States is
truly waging a global war against terrorism.
Violating the sovereignty of a nation we
are not at war with is serious and dangerous and should only be done as
a last resort. Incursions like the ones into Pakistan and Syria can and
should be justified if a nation cannot or will not control its territory
or threats that originate from its territory. The United States has
implicitly, if not directly, acknowledged that Pakistan is part of the
Afghan theater of war. Now, it appears the United States is warning
Syria of things to come if Damascus does not start acting like a
responsible regional player.
It appears that the U.S. has gotten
Syria’s attention. Now is the time to make sure the message is being
heard, and that there is no doubt about the resolve of the United States
to take the actions necessary to protect its troops and its allies in
the Middle East, and to take the offensive to terrorist groups and the
states they operate from. American military forces are undertaking more
overt actions, demonstrating the will and the ability of the United
States to act when action is needed. A strong diplomatic effort
immediately on the heels of this latest operation could give Syria a
chance to reevaluate its position and take steps to alleviate American
concerns about its behavior.
The ball is in Syria’s court. What will Damascus do? |