NormanT.Lihou
The Incompetency of Jihad: Information Operations Failures
June 13, 2008
 

The impact of Information Operations has been detailed in a previous NGIA, Inc. In-Depth Analysis report entitled “Al-Qaeda’s Reality.” The attention the media gives to terrorist incidents unfortunately emboldens the terrorists. For the most part, AQ has a very effective message laden with propaganda that gets unprecedented airplay. To get this type of exposure, a company would have to spend millions. A careful examination of the media coverage reveals a redundant analysis of terrorist incidents and what they mean without questioning the terrorist’s message.

 

Palestinian Cause

To the Arab world, the cause of the Palestinians and their war against Israel must be won at all costs. However, since the establishment of AQ on the global stage, the media has tended to concentrate on bin Laden’s cult of personality. It is only when the Palestinians attack Israel that the media turns its attention back to the Palestinians. The only other time the Palestinians are mentioned is when an American administration decides to try to force peace upon the Middle East.

 

Palestine is where the foreign fighter veterans of the Soviet-Afghan War were supposed to end up. After the defeat of the Soviets, Abdullah Azzam, then leader of what would become AQ, wanted to take all his fighters and head to the Palestinian lands. The course of terrorist history was changed when a car bomb, which no group ever took credit for, exploded, killing Azzam and placing the mantle of leadership squarely on Bin Laden. The new terror leader changed the focus of the group to the “far enemy” and the Palestinian cause was put on the back burner. [1]

 

The latest queries that Ayman Al-Zawahiri fielded in his worldwide “town hall meeting” demonstrate that many question the commitment of AQ to Palestine. UBL and Zawahiri have deflected this by claiming that AQ operations in Afghanistan and Iraq are proxy wars that help the Palestinians. The leadership promises to help the Palestinians as soon as AQ has accomplished its own agenda. One of the answers that Zawahiri gives indicates that he reviles the leadership of the Palestinian groups (Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah) as corrupt and implores those seeking Jihad to join the true believers, AQ, in Iraq.

 

AQ is not interested in the Palestinian cause as long as it has to compete with other organizations. They have created a terrorist “niche” for themselves by fighting the entire West. To fight the Israelis would mean undue competition and taking AQ’s struggle off the world stage. Although there have been reports of an AQ presence in Palestine, this alone does not demonstrate a commitment to the cause.

 

AQ has done a good job of sympathizing with the Palestinians while never making an actual effort to support the cause. Indeed, the Palestinian cause may have actually been negatively impacted by AQ’s actions. Since the inception of the War on Terror, the West has realized that terrorist groups cannot survive without vital financial support. The West has systematically shut down these streams of revenue for the terrorists. Many Palestinian revenue streams flew under the radar before the scrutiny by western governments. The Palestinians have to ask themselves whether or not they are better off since the emergence of AQ?

 

USS Cole

The USS Cole bombing resulted in 17 American sailors killed and 39 others injured. The October 12, 2000 attack occurred when the ship pulled in for refueling in the Yemeni port of Aden. A small rubber dinghy was loaded with explosives and detonated when the terrorists pulled along side the ship. The attack on the USS Cole represented AQ’s concerted effort to target a U.S. naval ship that visited the port of Aden. Although Yemen was considered a high-risk environment, no threats were indicated since U.S. naval operations began in January 1999.

 

Jamal Ahmed Mohammed Ali al-Badawi, Fahd al-Quso along with Hassan al-Khamri and Ibrahim al-Thawar (a.k.a. Nibras) made up the terrorist cell for AQ’s first attempt at maritime terrorism. Hassan and Nibras were the suicide captains of the boat. Al-Badawi coordinated the entire operation including procuring the safe houses in Aden and purchasing the 35 foot dinghy. Al-Badawi planned the attack based on the UBL fatwa to drive the Americans from the Peninsula.

 

The USS Cole bombing was not the first time AQ had tried to hit an American ship off the Yemeni coast. AQ experienced a significant tactical failure when its terror cell tried to attack the USS Sullivan as it pulled into port in January of 2000. The terrorists loaded the boat with so much explosive that it actually sank before it could be detonated. The terrorists called off the mission, recovered the boat and explosives and targeted the USS Cole instead. The CIA later concluded that had the terrorists executed the Cole attack with greater precision they would have sunk the ship and killed 300.[2]


In this case, the great informational operation failure was the lack of any videotaping of the attack. AQ wanted the USS Cole attack videotaped so they could use it in their propaganda and recruitment videos. The IO was so important to AQ that they procured an apartment overlooking the harbor to capture the event. Al-Quso was trained to videotape the terrorist’s triumphant moment, but slept through his alarm. Taking a taxi to try and get into position to film the event proved too little, too late as al-Quso actually missed the bombing.[3]

 

Egyptian Jihad

As evidenced by the number of questions that Zawahiri chose to respond to in his “town hall” Q&A session, Egypt is a matter of concern for the greater Muslim community. The country of Egypt has been under attack by Islamic militants since the inception of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) in 1928.

 

The founder of the organization was a school teacher named Hassan al-Banna. Al-Banna’s message was one of Islamic revival calling for a return to the version of Islam as practiced by the first followers of Mohammad. The Brotherhood pushed an idea of nationalism, which would erase class divisions in Egypt while instilling Islamic values. The MB is responsible for establishing a Sharia compliant finance system. Prior to the 1930s, no such system existed. Here is the creed of the MB:

 

Allah is our objective.

The messenger is our leader.

Quran is our law.

Jihad is our way.

Dying in the way of Allah is our highest hope.[4]

 

The Brotherhood stood up social and educational programs to indoctrinate members throughout Egypt. By 1939, the organization had become a political entity advocating for a government based solely on Sharia law. In 1945, the Brotherhood’s Parliamentary candidates were defeated in an election that the MB claimed was rigged.[5] During this time, the group expanded its branches and membership beyond the Egyptian borders. However, its downfall in Egypt occurred in 1948 when the Brotherhood assassinated the Prime Minister and was outlawed in the country soon after. The MB gained favor from the Egyptian government when it supported Gamal Abdel Nasser’s Free Officer’s overthrow of King Farouk. However, the new relationship was doomed when Nasser did not implement the Sharia law as his government’s foundation. The MB tried to assassinate Nasser, which led to yet another banning of the organization. One of the leaders of the Brotherhood, Sayyid Qutb, wrote a number of books calling for the destruction of any government that is secular. This infusion of violent ideology, coupled with the idea that Muslims where supposed to be the saviors of mankind, provided a higher, more spiritual calling for the MB. The crackdown on the Brotherhood lasted until the death of Nasser and the appointment of Anwar Sadat as the Egyptian President. Sadat released the MB members still in jail in 1971. President Sadat’s moves towards stabilized relations with the Israelis, reliance on U.S. economic aid and expulsion from the Arab League provided the MB with the reasons it needed to oppose his government.[6] The MB assassinated Sadat in 1981 and was supposed to overthrow the government as it was recoiling from the plot. The coup did not happen and the MB was quickly rounded up and jailed. One of the members at the time was Zawahiri. The assassination resulted in the ascendancy of Mubarak and another crackdown on the organization. Since that time, the Brotherhood has been in disarray and has theoretically abandoned its militant ways to pursue a more modernized political agenda.

 

This is why Zawahiri is answering so many questions about possible Egyptian jihad. Egypt represents Zawahiri’s personal vendetta. By “selecting” so many Egypt related questions, Zawahiri is trying to show that there is an active need for jihad in Egypt. This is probably one of the best hoaxes in AQ’s IO. Zawahiri is reinstilling the “plight” of the Egyptians into the global jihadi mindset. This will allow him to call for jihadis to go to Egypt to help out their brethren later on. When Zawahiri was a part of the MB, he believed that Egypt would be the epicenter of the Islamic world in the fight against the West.[7]

 

Using Unaware Jihadis

A disturbing tactic has emerged among AQ and its franchisees. A good illustration of the method is found in the use of Rabah Bechla as a suicide bomber by AQ in Africa (called Al-Qaeda Committee in the Islamic Maghreb or AQCIM). Bechla, a 64-year old terminal cancer patient, drove a pickup truck laden with explosives into a UN building. Rabah Bechla’s body was so ravaged by cancer that he may have had only days to live.[8]

The recent use of two mentally disabled women, who were remotely detonated in Baghdad markets, shows the level of "courage" being exhibited by al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). Reports are circulating that these pawns were unaware that they were being used as weapons.[9] This revelation comes on the heels of Bhutto’s assassination by 15-year old suicide bomber, Aitezaz Shah. Shah had already been planning a bombing attack on a religious festival.[10]

So the once "great warriors" of AQ and it's franchisees have been reduced to carrying out operations with cancer-ridden old men, handicapped women and children. Where are the throngs of young men that Bin Laden had promised would swell his ranks to challenge the evil West? The use of the men, women and children was an effort to demonstrate the undying Muslim commitment to the AQ terrorist ideology. The people in these cases were supposed to generate a litany of discussion that would once again give Al-Qaeda unprecedented media coverage. The outrage that should have accompanied the use of the handicapped women would have made good propaganda fodder for AQ. Unfortunately for them, it was only a blip in the media ocean.

 

Afghanistan Mujahideen

One of the greatest Information Operations that AQ ever pulled off was stealing the credit for the Afghan Mujahideen.

 

The Soviet Union invaded the country of Afghanistan in 1979 and fought a costly war for 10 years before retreating in defeat. The countrymen of Afghanistan fought the Soviets with guerilla warfare and the latest in American technology. The foreign fighters that went through the camps that Bin Laden was associated with were focused on training and not necessarily on participating in the conflict. Most of the Saudis that went through the camps used this as a way of proving their manhood but left after only a couple of months.

 

In speeches given since the Afghan victory, Bin Laden always uses the term Mujahideen to describe his terrorist fighters. The Mujahideen were the Afghanis that actually fought the Soviets and liberated the country. One of the few times that AQ committed forces to the Mujahideen was in support of the Taliban’s civil war against other Afghan warlords after the Soviet departure.

 

While UBL has always claimed that the victory over the Soviets was because of his Mujahideen, it should be recalled that he was a low level financier responsible mainly for housing and feeding non-Afghan participants. Although he was a regional commander at one time, he was minimally involved in firefights. Given that the liberators of Afghanistan were the native Mujahideen backed by the latest in American weaponry and intelligence, UBL’s claim of AQ liberating the country is a lie that perpetuates itself and serves to reinforce terrorist propaganda to this day.

 

Osama bin Laden and Zawahiri Split

While there has been no overt announcement of a split between the leaders of AQ, careful examination reveals a deepening schism.

 

The belief about AQ is that the two leaders are united in their ideology and support each other unquestioningly. Zawahiri has been a vital part of the AQ organization since its inception and has been an important ally of bin Laden since 1986. The Egyptian doctor became the de facto 2nd in command through years of operations with Al-Qaeda.

 

What most analysts have failed to recognize is the significance of a couple items in the IO campaign of AQ. The first is that every time UBL releases a tape, Zawahiri seems to immediately follow up with his own message. This keeps the focus on the message of Zawahiri and moves UBL out of the spotlight. Second, in Zawahiri’s Q&A session, he mentions his writings on twenty-one separate occasions. He refers to these writings to clarify answers that he is providing. The mention of his writings is being used to establish a scholarly expertise for the Ummah to recognize. By referring to the publication of his new book 14 times, Zawahiri is trying to influence a potential future global jihad. It can be surmised that Zawahiri is usurping the ideology of AQ from UBL by publishing the book. The third item is that the AQ leader and his deputy do not agree on how to handle the followers of the Shi’a religion. UBL has supported and taken support from Iran in the past while Zawahiri calls the Shi’a nation the Ummah’s greatest traitors. Expect this particular rift to continue as sides will have to be chosen when it comes to the Shi’a.


 

Footnotes

[1] Brown, Samuel VI and Lihou, Norman T. “Al-Qaeda’s Reality” NGIA In-Depth Analysis Paper, 31 Jan 2008, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008

 

[2] Cooperative Research History Commons “October 12, 2000: USS Cole Bombed by Al-Qaeda” Profile: Fahad al-Quso, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008

 

[3] Wright, Lawrence “The Agent” New Yorker 10 July 2006, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008

 

[4] Muslim Brotherhood Movement Page, retrieved on 11 Apr 2008

 

[5,6] Servold, Gary M. “The Muslim Brotherhood and Islamic Radicalism” Chapter 3.

 

Ibid, Servold.

 

[7] Wright, Lawrence, “The Looming Tower” pg. 39

 

[8] Bennhold, Katrin “Poverty, jail seen a suicide-bomber pattern” Boston Globe 14 Dec 2007, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008

 

[9] Karadsheh, Jomana and Taha, Ahmed “U.S.: 'Demonic' militants sent women to bomb markets in Iraq” CNN 2 Feb 2008, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008

 

[10] International News “Pakistan arrests teen suspect in Bhutto plot” Kuwait Times 20 Jan 2008, retrieved 10 Apr 2008  

Norman T. Lihou, a 22-year veteran of the Intelligence Community, is the Director of Intelligence at the Non Governmental Intelligence Agency (NGIA) and provides daily information about current and ongoing situations in the world at Thinking Points. NGIA provides professional courses that are aimed to educate and inform the public, business and government sectors on what they can do to recognize the threat and protect themselves.

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