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NormanT.Lihou
The Incompetency of Jihad: Information Operations Failures
June 13, 2008
The impact of Information Operations has been
detailed in a previous NGIA, Inc. In-Depth Analysis report entitled “Al-Qaeda’s
Reality.” The attention the media gives to terrorist incidents unfortunately
emboldens the terrorists. For the most part, AQ has a very effective message
laden with propaganda that gets unprecedented airplay. To get this type of
exposure, a company would have to spend millions. A careful examination of the
media coverage reveals a redundant analysis of terrorist incidents and what they
mean without questioning the terrorist’s message.
Palestinian Cause
To the Arab world, the cause of the
Palestinians and their war against Israel must be won at all costs.
However, since the establishment of AQ on the global stage, the media
has tended to concentrate on bin Laden’s cult of personality. It is only
when the Palestinians attack Israel that the media turns its attention
back to the Palestinians. The only other time the Palestinians are
mentioned is when an American administration decides to try to force
peace upon the Middle East.
Palestine is where the foreign fighter
veterans of the Soviet-Afghan War were supposed to end up. After the
defeat of the Soviets, Abdullah Azzam, then leader of what would become
AQ, wanted to take all his fighters and head to the Palestinian lands.
The course of terrorist history was changed when a car bomb, which no
group ever took credit for, exploded, killing Azzam and placing the
mantle of leadership squarely on Bin Laden. The new terror leader
changed the focus of the group to the “far enemy” and the Palestinian
cause was put on the back burner. [1]
The latest queries that Ayman Al-Zawahiri
fielded in his worldwide “town hall meeting” demonstrate that many
question the commitment of AQ to Palestine. UBL and Zawahiri have
deflected this by claiming that AQ operations in Afghanistan and Iraq
are proxy wars that help the Palestinians. The leadership promises to
help the Palestinians as soon as AQ has accomplished its own agenda. One
of the answers that Zawahiri gives indicates that he reviles the
leadership of the Palestinian groups (Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah) as
corrupt and implores those seeking Jihad to join the true believers, AQ,
in Iraq.
AQ is not interested in the Palestinian
cause as long as it has to compete with other organizations. They have
created a terrorist “niche” for themselves by fighting the entire West.
To fight the Israelis would mean undue competition and taking AQ’s
struggle off the world stage. Although there have been reports of an AQ
presence in Palestine, this alone does not demonstrate a commitment to
the cause.
AQ has done a good job of sympathizing
with the Palestinians while never making an actual effort to support the
cause. Indeed, the Palestinian cause may have actually been negatively
impacted by AQ’s actions. Since the inception of the War on Terror, the
West has realized that terrorist groups cannot survive without vital
financial support. The West has systematically shut down these streams
of revenue for the terrorists. Many Palestinian revenue streams flew
under the radar before the scrutiny by western governments. The
Palestinians have to ask themselves whether or not they are better off
since the emergence of AQ?
USS Cole
The USS Cole bombing resulted in 17
American sailors killed and 39 others injured. The October 12, 2000
attack occurred when the ship pulled in for refueling in the Yemeni port
of Aden. A small rubber dinghy was loaded with explosives and detonated
when the terrorists pulled along side the ship. The attack on the USS
Cole represented AQ’s concerted effort to target a U.S. naval ship that
visited the port of Aden. Although Yemen was considered a high-risk
environment, no threats were indicated since U.S. naval operations began
in January 1999.
Jamal Ahmed Mohammed Ali al-Badawi, Fahd
al-Quso along with Hassan al-Khamri and Ibrahim al-Thawar (a.k.a. Nibras)
made up the terrorist cell for AQ’s first attempt at maritime terrorism.
Hassan and Nibras were the suicide captains of the boat. Al-Badawi
coordinated the entire operation including procuring the safe houses in
Aden and purchasing the 35 foot dinghy. Al-Badawi planned the attack
based on the UBL fatwa to drive the Americans from the Peninsula.
The USS Cole bombing was not the first
time AQ had tried to hit an American ship off the Yemeni coast. AQ
experienced a significant tactical failure when its terror cell tried to
attack the USS Sullivan as it pulled into port in January of 2000. The
terrorists loaded the boat with so much explosive that it actually sank
before it could be detonated. The terrorists called off the mission,
recovered the boat and explosives and targeted the USS Cole instead. The
CIA later concluded that had the terrorists executed the Cole attack
with greater precision they would have sunk the ship and killed 300.[2]
In this case, the great informational
operation failure was the lack of any videotaping of the attack. AQ wanted
the USS Cole attack videotaped so they could use it in their propaganda and
recruitment videos. The IO was so important to AQ that they procured an
apartment overlooking the harbor to capture the event. Al-Quso was trained
to videotape the terrorist’s triumphant moment, but slept through his alarm.
Taking a taxi to try and get into position to film the event proved too
little, too late as al-Quso actually missed the bombing.[3]
Egyptian Jihad
As evidenced by the number of questions that
Zawahiri chose to respond to in his “town hall” Q&A session, Egypt is a
matter of concern for the greater Muslim community. The country of Egypt has
been under attack by Islamic militants since the inception of the Muslim
Brotherhood (MB) in 1928.
The founder of the organization was a school
teacher named Hassan al-Banna. Al-Banna’s message was one of Islamic revival
calling for a return to the version of Islam as practiced by the first
followers of Mohammad. The Brotherhood pushed an idea of nationalism, which
would erase class divisions in Egypt while instilling Islamic values. The MB
is responsible for establishing a Sharia compliant finance system. Prior to
the 1930s, no such system existed. Here is the creed of the MB:
Allah is our objective.
The messenger is our leader.
Quran is our law.
Jihad is our way.
Dying in the way of Allah is
our highest hope.[4]
The Brotherhood stood up social and
educational programs to indoctrinate members throughout Egypt. By 1939, the
organization had become a political entity advocating for a government based
solely on Sharia law. In 1945, the Brotherhood’s Parliamentary candidates
were defeated in an election that the MB claimed was rigged.[5]
During this time, the group expanded its branches and membership beyond the
Egyptian borders. However, its downfall in Egypt occurred in 1948 when the
Brotherhood assassinated the Prime Minister and was outlawed in the country
soon after. The MB gained favor from the Egyptian government when it
supported Gamal Abdel Nasser’s Free Officer’s overthrow of King Farouk.
However, the new relationship was doomed when Nasser did not implement the
Sharia law as his government’s foundation. The MB tried to assassinate
Nasser, which led to yet another banning of the organization. One of the
leaders of the Brotherhood, Sayyid Qutb, wrote a number of books calling for
the destruction of any government that is secular. This infusion of violent
ideology, coupled with the idea that Muslims where supposed to be the
saviors of mankind, provided a higher, more spiritual calling for the MB.
The crackdown on the Brotherhood lasted until the death of Nasser and the
appointment of Anwar Sadat as the Egyptian President. Sadat released the MB
members still in jail in 1971. President Sadat’s moves towards stabilized
relations with the Israelis, reliance on U.S. economic aid and expulsion
from the Arab League provided the MB with the reasons it needed to oppose
his government.[6] The MB assassinated Sadat in
1981 and was supposed to overthrow the government as it was recoiling from
the plot. The coup did not happen and the MB was quickly rounded up and
jailed. One of the members at the time was Zawahiri. The assassination
resulted in the ascendancy of Mubarak and another crackdown on the
organization. Since that time, the Brotherhood has been in disarray and has
theoretically abandoned its militant ways to pursue a more modernized
political agenda.
This is why Zawahiri is answering so many
questions about possible Egyptian jihad. Egypt represents Zawahiri’s
personal vendetta. By “selecting” so many Egypt related questions, Zawahiri
is trying to show that there is an active need for jihad in Egypt. This is
probably one of the best hoaxes in AQ’s IO. Zawahiri is reinstilling the
“plight” of the Egyptians into the global jihadi mindset. This will allow
him to call for jihadis to go to Egypt to help out their brethren later on.
When Zawahiri was a part of the MB, he believed that Egypt would be the
epicenter of the Islamic world in the fight against the West.[7]
Using Unaware Jihadis
A disturbing tactic has emerged among AQ and
its franchisees. A good illustration of the method is found in the use of
Rabah Bechla as a suicide bomber by AQ in Africa (called Al-Qaeda Committee
in the Islamic Maghreb or AQCIM). Bechla, a 64-year old terminal cancer
patient, drove a pickup truck laden with explosives into a UN building.
Rabah Bechla’s body was so ravaged by cancer that he may have had only days
to live.[8]
The recent use of two mentally
disabled women, who were remotely detonated in Baghdad markets, shows the
level of "courage" being exhibited by al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). Reports are
circulating that these
pawns were unaware that they were being
used as weapons.[9] This revelation comes on
the heels of Bhutto’s assassination by 15-year old suicide bomber,
Aitezaz Shah. Shah had already been planning a bombing attack
on a religious festival.[10]
So the once
"great warriors" of AQ and it's franchisees have been reduced
to carrying out operations with cancer-ridden old men, handicapped women and
children. Where are the throngs of young men that Bin Laden had promised
would swell his ranks to challenge the evil West? The use of the men, women
and children was an effort to demonstrate the undying Muslim commitment to
the AQ terrorist ideology. The people in these cases were supposed to
generate a litany of discussion that would once again give Al-Qaeda
unprecedented media coverage. The outrage that should have accompanied the
use of the handicapped women would have made good propaganda fodder for AQ.
Unfortunately for them, it was only a blip in the media ocean.
Afghanistan Mujahideen
One of the greatest Information Operations
that AQ ever pulled off was stealing the credit for the Afghan Mujahideen.
The Soviet Union invaded the country of
Afghanistan in 1979 and fought a costly war for 10 years before retreating
in defeat. The countrymen of Afghanistan fought the Soviets with guerilla
warfare and the latest in American technology. The foreign fighters that
went through the camps that Bin Laden was associated with were focused on
training and not necessarily on participating in the conflict. Most of the
Saudis that went through the camps used this as a way of proving their
manhood but left after only a couple of months.
In speeches given since the Afghan victory,
Bin Laden always uses the term Mujahideen to describe his terrorist
fighters. The Mujahideen were the Afghanis that actually fought the Soviets
and liberated the country. One of the few times that AQ committed forces to
the Mujahideen was in support of the Taliban’s civil war against other
Afghan warlords after the Soviet departure.
While UBL has always claimed that
the victory over the Soviets was because of his Mujahideen, it should be
recalled that he was a low level financier responsible mainly for housing
and feeding non-Afghan participants. Although he was a regional commander at
one time, he was minimally involved in firefights. Given that the liberators
of Afghanistan were the native Mujahideen backed by the latest in American
weaponry and intelligence, UBL’s claim of AQ liberating the country is a lie
that perpetuates itself and serves to reinforce terrorist propaganda to this
day.
Osama bin Laden and Zawahiri Split
While there has been no overt announcement of
a split between the leaders of AQ, careful examination reveals a deepening
schism.
The belief about AQ is that the two leaders
are united in their ideology and support each other unquestioningly.
Zawahiri has been a vital part of the AQ organization since its inception
and has been an important ally of bin Laden since 1986. The Egyptian doctor
became the de facto 2nd in command through years of operations
with Al-Qaeda.
What most analysts have failed to recognize
is the significance of a couple items in the IO campaign of AQ. The first is
that every time UBL releases a tape, Zawahiri seems to immediately follow up
with his own message. This keeps the focus on the message of Zawahiri and
moves UBL out of the spotlight. Second, in Zawahiri’s Q&A session, he
mentions his writings on twenty-one separate occasions. He refers to these
writings to clarify answers that he is providing. The mention of his
writings is being used to establish a scholarly expertise for the Ummah to
recognize. By referring to the publication of his new book 14 times,
Zawahiri is trying to influence a potential future global jihad. It can be
surmised that Zawahiri is usurping the ideology of AQ from UBL by publishing
the book. The third item is that the AQ leader and his deputy do not agree
on how to handle the followers of the Shi’a religion. UBL has supported and
taken support from Iran in the past while Zawahiri calls the Shi’a nation
the Ummah’s greatest traitors. Expect this particular rift to continue as
sides will have to be chosen when it comes to the Shi’a.
Footnotes
[1] Brown, Samuel VI and Lihou, Norman T. “Al-Qaeda’s
Reality” NGIA In-Depth Analysis Paper, 31 Jan 2008, retrieved on
10 Apr 2008
[3] Wright, Lawrence “The
Agent” New Yorker 10 July 2006, retrieved on 10 Apr 2008
[5,6] Servold, Gary M. “The Muslim Brotherhood and
Islamic Radicalism” Chapter 3.
[7] Wright, Lawrence, “The Looming Tower” pg. 39
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