A point of "No
Return” is approaching, faster than ever. Two weeks ago Iran’s martyrdom
seeking leadership announced that an additional 6,000 uranium refining
centrifuges were being added to the push to take their country nuclear.
Iran’s leaders’ intentions are not peaceful. Iran is building nuclear
weapons and will use them as soon as they have them.
There is no
meaningful or effective effort to prevent Iran from achieving its goal.
Any overthrow of Iran’s radical rulers is a figment of Secretary of
State Rice’s imagination. Based upon a review of multiple, public
"status reports” and a feeling for historical significance, I believe
that mid-September, 2010 is the drop-dead date. By then I expect that
Israel, back-to-the-wall, out-of-options and out-of-time, will attack
Iran in an attempt to seriously setback that country’s atomic bomb
building project. With equal conviction I believe that Iran shares my
view. Anticipating an Israeli attack, Iran may launch a pre-emptive
strike. Every time Iran’s leaders’ speeches mock Israel’s belligerence,
they are building their case justifying such an attack.
It does not matter
who throws the first punch. This is going to be a regional war unlike
any previous Middle Eastern conflict. Iran will launch everything it has
against Israel and it has massive means to do so. Syria will do the
same, perhaps using munitions containing chemical and biological agents.
Hezbollah, bigger, stronger, better armed and combat proven, its
storehouses bulging with tens of thousands of newly re-supplied Syrian,
Iranian and Russian missiles, will attack from hundreds of positions all
across Lebanon. Hamas, armed to the teeth not only with small arms and
short-range rockets, but also with missiles capable of reaching Israel’s
heavily populated costal area, will launch a widespread, sustained
attack from within the Gaza Strip’s most densely populated civilian
More than 15,000
rockets and missiles will strike Israel within the first 36 hours of the
war. The death and destruction will be massive. Israel will counter with
everything in its arsenal. Other Middle Eastern countries may join in
the attack on Israel directly or indirectly by allowing "volunteer
fighters” from across the world to use their countries as staging areas
for military operations against Israel. Israel will respond against
these countries with whatever resources it has left. Many Arab countries
will cease to exist as functioning societies.
As the initial
massive missile attack subsides, sooner in areas not targeted, the
terrorists on Israel’s southern and northern borders will begin to
infiltrate. Terrorists in the areas belonging to the Palestinian
Authority and elsewhere across the West Bank will join in. And the tens
of thousands of Fatah (terrorist) Palestinian security services
personnel, (paramilitary) many trained (advanced "counter-terrorist”
tactics), armed and equipped by the EU, the British and the United
States also will attack. Much of Israel is literally within walking
distance of the Fatah. There will be a blood bath, up close and
personal, as the terrorists sweep into undefended Israeli neighborhoods.
Fighting will continue for months. Israel will survive, but the number
of dead could easily number in the hundred of thousands.
For the United
States there will be two direct and immediate consequences resulting
from this Middle Eastern regional war. First, foreign oil deliveries
will be interrupted for an extended period of time. The price of oil
will skyrocket to levels that make driving your car prohibitively
expensive. Heating oil will become similarly expensive. Transportation
of goods to market will be uneven, perhaps sporadic. Shortages of basics
will result. For a while you may need to be self-reliant. Now is the
time to begin putting away a few food staples each week, purchase a
bicycle, a book on gardening, some packs of vegetables seeds and some
comfortable, warm clothing.
Second, if ever
there was a time when both the terrorist cells and the "lone wolf”
terrorists thought to be present in our country crawl out from under the
rocks where they are hiding, the war will be the catalyst. Within 36
hours of the start of the war in the Middle East, isolated acts of
terrorism will begin across the United States. The initial "incidents”
will act like several ping-pong balls thrown into a large room
jam-packed with mousetraps set with ping-pong balls. Suddenly traps are
going-off everywhere and ping-pong balls fill the air. A virtual wave of
terror will ensue. It could take months to quell the attacks by
homicide/suicide bombers and shooters and by thousands of other, not so
enthusiastically seeking immediate martyrdom, terrorists making up the
hundreds of terror cells across the United States.
is basically undefended. It is what the terrorists smugly call a "target
rich environment” - and You, the members of your family, your neighbors
and your friends are the targets.
My vision of the
future disturbs me. Does it disturb you? I hope so. I hope it disturbs
you so much that you actually do prepare your family. You have a year to
do so, to learn new skills, practice and perfect them. Make use of it.
Do not allow the legacy of jimmy carter’s presidency to bite you on the