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"Fait accomplis must convince foreign powers
of the hopelessness of intervention.”
– Adolf Hitler regarding a proposed
invasion of Czechoslovakia, April 1938
Recently, Iran
announced that it has once again begun to expand on its controversial
uranium enrichment program. It plans to vastly increase the number and
quality of centrifuges in its plants, but once again assures the nations of
the world that its intentions are entirely "peaceful.” I feel certain that
the worst the Iranians will face is another wild round of vicious
report-writing at the U.N. and saber rattling by Bush and his allies. In the
end, Iran will most likely receive a strongly worded note, which it will
pile with all the others it has received. In practical terms, nothing will
happen, the centrifuges will spin away with ever increasing efficiency to
their "peaceful” end, and the West will continue to wander wistfully down a
path that the Nazi’s led it down within some people’s living memory.
I hate comparing anyone to the Nazis, even if
they deserve it. I try to avoid this for the simple reason that as
everyone’s favorite (and well-deserved) object of all-embracing hatred,
Hitler and his gang are the generic go-to negative analogy for any angry
person or group. People of all political persuasions, left and right, can
agree that the Nazi’s were evil. Period. And so, calling someone a "Nazi” is
automatically effective. The target’s actual resemblance to the historic
atrocity that was Nazism more often than not has nothing whatsoever to do
with the charge. It is simply a way of saying "I really despise you and so
want to make you look bad.” As such, the comparison happens so often that
most people settle for a shallow "You’re a really bad person” reading. In
most cases, they aren’t meant to dig deeper, because the speaker is rarely
well enough educated about historic Germany to actually draw any such
intelligent comparison.
In this case, though, I literally mean it.
Ahmadinejad and his cronies in Iran appear to be literally following a path
blazed in the Twentieth Century by Hitler himself. In those fateful years
leading up to World War II, Hitler consciously attempted to follow a policy
that could be reasonably broken down into four stages:
Stage 1: Convince the world that your
intentions are both reasonable and peaceful.
Hitler knowingly played on the liberal,
peace-loving tendencies of his enemies. Westerners tend to presume that
everyone thinks like they do. Ergo everyone is at heart a reasonable,
peaceful individual, or at least will become one when given the chance and a
proper example. Hitler played on that by giving speeches to the Reichstag
and press that could be the epitome of moderate, gracious thought: he was
only interested in providing for oppressed German minorities in his target
countries. He only wanted the right to build up Germany’s military to parity
with other nations, and, in fact, to become an equal, contributing member of
the international community. He even proposed disarmament talks! The
West—particularly the liberals—ate it up. The London Times actually
intentionally suppressed the truth of Nazi atrocities in the pre-war period
as a way of reaching out to Hitler and showing how open they were.
Stage 2: Pursue your own policy behind the
scenes.
That Hitler never had the slightest intention
of honoring any of his promises is an indisputable historical fact. Even as
he was saying "Peace!” he was laying the ground work for a huge military
buildup that would far exceed even "parity” with the Allies. He wanted power
for a massive stroke that his targets would never be able to deflect. Hitler
had nothing but disgust for the "reasonable discourse” emanating from the
West. It interested him only insofar as it furthered his plans.
Stage 3: Strike and accomplish your goal
before your enemy can react.
Hitler’s plan called for a massive stroke that
would end the fighting before it had fairly begun. In Case Green, his
plans for the invasion of Czechoslovakia, he gave his generals "four days”
to destroy the country’s resistance entirely. In this, we can easily see the
birth of the infamous blitzkrieg that would later prove so successful.
The idea, of course, is to succeed entirely before possible opponents
can even think about intervening.
Stage 4: Fait Accompli—Reassume a reasonable
posture and bargain from your new position.
After achieving a goal, Hitler would again
crank up Goebbels’s propaganda machine, claim that his aggression was
somehow reasonably justifiable, and promise that he had no future plans for
more expansion. The Allies were left asking themselves if they really wanted
to risk massive bloodshed to reverse something Hitler had already clearly
realized. They would then begin a new series of negotiations that took Nazi
Germany’s new position for granted.
Of course, this approach never worked out in
perfect order in real life, but it worked well enough and often enough for
Hitler to take over the Rhineland, Austria, and all of Czechoslovakia while
the Allies babbled pointlessly on about "a peace for our time.”
Unfortunately for Hitler, he took his last step in Poland a little too
quickly and on September 1, 1939 inaugurated a war he never intended to
start; a war he could not win.
It appears that Ahmadinejad is following in
Hitler’s footsteps so closely he might as well as be wearing Der
Fuehrer’s own jackboots. Every "new” nuclear crisis we’ve seen from him
so far has been Hitler’s approach in microcosm. Iran talks peace, harmony,
and reasonable rights while expanding their nuclear operation behind the
scenes. When a milestone is reached, Ahmadinejad announces it and
immediately reassumes a "reasonable” stance. After some complaint, an
impotent U.N. (doing its best impression of the League of Nations) accepts
Iran’s new position as fact and moves on. While this has yet to involve
military force (as Hitler’s plans called for), the basic pattern is the
same. I believe that the ultimate goal, of course, is a nuclear weapon (Are
we really naive enough believe that a country with as many stated violent
goals as Iran is really interested in just "energy”? It appears so.). In the
meantime, behind the scenes, Iranian scientists are working nights bringing
Iran closer to becoming a member of the nuclear club. When that fateful day
arrives and his generals can report to him that they have several nuclear
weapons in their arsenal, Ahmadinejad will announce his big fait accompli
to the world and dare them to do anything about it. If the West is afraid to
tackle a non-nuclear Iran, why should he believe that they will suddenly
want to attack an atomic one? The fait accompli may also be announced
in a more dramatic way: a strike on Israel.
There is at least one more commonality between
the two situations: the universal gullibility of the western
liberal-intellectual elite. What worked for Hitler seems to be working again
for Ahmadinejad, and on the same people no less. As I prepared to send this
piece in, an article appeared on Breitbart:
Obama calls for talks with Iran. This strikes me as the saddest part of
the business. One would think we would learn after Der Fuehrer had
pulled the wool over our collective eyes. Yet here we are again, talking
about giving way before another petty dictator, in all likelihood creating
another military monster. I wonder how many people will die in the name of
"reasoned discourse” this time?
"Springtime for Hitler”
indeed. |